Planetary Radio • May 02, 2025

Space Policy Edition: How NASA remembers—and forgets

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Janet vertesi portrait

Janet Vertesi

Associate Professor of Sociology, Princeton University

Casey dreier tps mars

Casey Dreier

Chief of Space Policy for The Planetary Society

No one person knows how to build a spaceship. Janet Vertesi, PhD, has seen this firsthand. She’s spent years embedded in NASA science teams, not as a participant, but as an observer. She’s a sociologist who studies the team dynamics of NASA missions. She is alarmed at the prospect of indiscriminate firings at the agency, and at the potential loss of institutional knowledge that won’t easily be rebuilt.

NASA workforce losses
NASA workforce losses Image: Casey Dreier

Transcript

Casey Dreier: Hello, and welcome to the Space Policy Edition of Planetary Radio. I'm Casey Dreier, the Chief of Space Policy here at The Planetary Society. Good to be here this month. I am very excited about our guest, Dr. Janet Vertesi, Associate Professor of Sociology at Princeton University, who, for the last two decades, has studied not just NASA's robotic spacecraft, but the teams that enable them. She's embedded herself and watched the various sociological engagements and interactions and what makes these teams tick as they explore the solar system via their robotic emissaries, in a sense.

Her insights on teamwork and how knowledge is passed forward is reflected in two books that she's written. The first was called Seeing Like a Rover: How Robots, Teams and Images, Craft Knowledge of Mars, and her latest book that came out a few years ago, Shaping Science: Organizations, Decisions, and Culture on NASA's Teams. They are truly unique resources in terms of understanding, in a sense, how the actual process of exploration occurs with robotic scientific spacecraft. It's truly fascinating.

But that's not even the exact reason she's on the show this month, that's part of it. Why she's here is an op-ed that she published recently that is linked to in our show notes, it's called Invigorating the American Space Sector Requires Working With NASA, Not Against It. The period in which I'm recording this is a period of incredible uncertainty for NASA itself, what its future is going to be, what its budgets are going to look like, and how many people it will even have.

At this point, again, in April of 2025, NASA narrowly avoided laying off over 1,000 workers called probationary, which were basically young, early career individuals and people who had just been promoted. NASA has, though, lost nearly 5% of its workforce through voluntary buyouts offered by the current administration. And while those departures are voluntary, a reduction in 5% of NASA's workforce actually places the agency at its smallest civil servant workforce level since 1960, essentially.

Now, what the right level of workforce is isn't necessarily the point of this discussion. What is the point and which is the article that she talked about made the point of is that institutions themselves, particularly institutions like NASA that are charged with doing something, let's be honest, kind of weird, right? Charged with exploring the universe, with sending people into space, with pushing the boundaries of capability of these weird one-off technologies to land on Mars or to go to Jupiter or to build a super cold spacecraft that can look back towards the early stages of the universe, these aren't something that you just pick up in a book. You figure out how to do this. In a sense, the larger institutional workforce of NASA shares this broad knowledge. It's too complex and too big for any one brain.

And Dr. Vertesi's works is basically this study. And her op-ed makes this argument that if you don't preserve this institutional knowledge through the act of doing things and working together in teams, that that knowledge can die, can and does die. We often think that once a genie is out of the bottle in knowledge for humanity, there's no putting it back in. But she actually argues it has happened many times, and particularly in civilization's deep history, we forget things all the time. Knowledge is an active process, and if there's this concept of this broader meta, in a sense, meta-brain of a group capability and group awareness and group expertise, randomly losing people and either driving them out of the workforce or applying arbitrary levels of workforce cuts, you're poking holes in that group brain and weakening the ability to institutionalize and to maintain this harder knowledge that we have for space exploration. I think about this, I came away from this discussion with the idea that NASA, in a sense, functions as a national strategic reserve of knowledge for how to get to and operate in space successfully.

The conversation I'm about to have with Dr. Vertesi touches on her article, which I again recommend you read, and the importance of actively maintaining institutional knowledge, particularly for activities like going into space because of its complexity, because of its unforgiving nature of space itself. And it's a really important point to consider as we are in a situation where we are trying to reduce the capabilities or at least reduce the workforce levels of NASA. How can you do that if it has to happen in a way that preserves knowledge? And as she'll point out, it's not just enough to assume that the individuals laid off will go and found new companies or bring that full knowledge with them. They'll bring bits and pieces, but there's no guarantee, unless there's some broader effort, that that knowledge will take root and be maintained over time.

Before we get to that interview, The Planetary Society is a nonprofit member-supported organization. That means we rely on individuals to be members and support us financially in order so we can do all the great work that we do here at the organization, all the outreach, all the education, obviously organizing our members to engage with their political systems and argue for space exploration and space science, and bring new shows like this and the weekly show Planetary Radio.

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And now, joining me is Dr. Janet Vertesi. Janet Vertesi, thank you for joining me this month on the Space Policy Edition.

Janet Vertesi: Of course, it's a pleasure. Thanks, Casey.

Casey Dreier: I have linked in the show notes to the great article that you wrote about the threats to NASA's workforce and the loss of that. And something that you opened that article with really stuck out to me, which was you, and I'll just kind of quote you here, you say, "It is possible, even easy to systematically forget or lose entire swaths of technical or scientific prowess." Why does that happen? Has it happened in our past, at least in the modern era? And what do we need to do to preserve, in a sense, and sustain human knowledge over time?

Janet Vertesi: It's a good question. Human knowledge, we tend to think of belonging to individual people or sitting somehow in our heads that could be sort of extractable from an individual. But knowledge of the type that it takes to do these enormous technical projects is a group endeavor and it's a group collective phenomenon.

So we talk about this as a question of distributed cognition, for instance, that it doesn't take just one person to put together a Boeing 747. There's many, many different people involved, many different groups, many different clusters of knowledge that have to come together, and then a lot of knowledge that we don't ever write down that it escapes documentation. And we call that tacit knowledge in sociology, it means the unspoken or quiet knowledge. If you've ever tried to explain to a child how to ride a bicycle using words or how to brush their teeth using words, you'd know that that goes awry very quickly, and it's because there's so much more that we don't express verbally.

So when you put those two things together, one, that knowledge is a property of groups, and two, that a lot of knowledge about technical know-how cannot actually be expressed in documentation, you see what happens when you have these large technical projects that suddenly lose institutional backing. Everybody who knows what they're doing suddenly escapes the project. And it means that you've lost a tremendous amount of technical knowledge, potentially absolutely crippling technical knowledge. You've lost the ability to send something into space, to put something effectively or safely in the air, to manage a railroad, for instance. If you trouble the institutions in which individuals work collectively and transmit that tacit knowledge from one generation to the next and are able to bring their knowledge together across different clusters, then you do actually un-invent technologies. So this is known as the tacit un-invention of a technology because you've lost the stories, the know-how, the mentorship, and also the collective knowledge that it takes to make a project work.

Casey Dreier: And have there been examples of that that we've seen in history, in recent history?

Janet Vertesi: I'm trying to think about... There's a lot of knowledge that we lose, right? Because people [inaudible 00:10:43]-

Casey Dreier: I guess we wouldn't know if we've... I guess-

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, it's hard to know you lost it.

Casey Dreier: In your article, I guess I'm thinking about Apollo, as returning to the moon maybe as an example that's relevant to this discussion.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, I think the Apollo case is a really interesting one because America spent a ton of money getting to the moon. It was basically like blank checks to get Apollo off the ground and get it to the moon successfully over successive waves of missions. So what was interesting about Apollo wasn't just the technology, it was the institution, the organization. What NASA did, and people like James Webb, the original James Webb talk about this explicitly, what NASA did was set up an organization in which people worked on successive Apollos to stepwise make it to the moon. And they transferred their knowledge by working, like someone would work on Apollo, I don't know, 2, and then another group would work on Apollo 3, and then that group from Apollo 2 would also transfer to 4 and 5.

So you had this kind of infusion of knowledge over the long term between one group and the next. And what that meant is each stage built successively on the prior technology demonstration, as well as with the prior groups of people. So you had that knowledge go over time.

And then the other thing that someone like James Webb said is what was interesting about these big projects at NASA is like, you can't do this with a small group. You have to do this at scale. It is such a difficult and large thing to do. Space is there to kill us, let's remind ourselves. So if we really want to get humans to someplace as inhospitable as the moon, and difficult, we have to bring lots of organizations together in ways that they hadn't really worked before.

So what you end up with is these large organizations that extend out between the public and the private sector, but at the same time, a group of people that work together quite concertedly over 10 or 12 years in order to make something like Apollo happen. So as an organizational sociologist who studies technology in high-tech spaces, this is a really fascinating kind of organization because it means that they maintain and build on all that tacit knowledge. They can work with distributed cognition to make the whole apparatus come together.

And then it's not lost until, until Nixon says, "That's it, we're done. We're spending too much on the Vietnam War." It's 1970, the Nixon doctrine comes in and says, "Okay, NASA, you don't get blank checks anymore. Now you're subject to the same style of funding as many of these other agencies. You have to go to Congress every year, every two years and present a budget, and it has to be debated. This money isn't just coming out of nowhere anymore." And that's when, as we've seen in your work, for instance, Casey, we've seen massive withdrawal of funds from NASA. The budget crashed by 2/3. And that made it so that the people who worked on Apollo had to leave and that knowledge left with them. And I think the idea was, look, it's great we've built this capability. Now it'll go out into the private sector, it'll go out to re-infuse more NASA projects, but it didn't. It didn't because you can write down how to build a spacecraft, but you need that team, you need that longevity, you need that tacit knowledge and you need that group know-how. And without that, without that, we literally lost the ability to go to the moon. We basically forgot how to do that collectively. And as time went on, as those people came to the ends of their careers, as those people passed away, that knowledge died with them and that group knowledge died with them.

So that's a fear I have when I look at the kind of funding scenarios for NASA right now, is we're facing a similar moment as we faced in 1970. The idea that like, oh, it's okay. We're spending too much on this right now. It'd be much better if we sent most of these people to the private sector and they'll keep doing the good work there. The problem is if you de-institutionalize those people, if you break up the band, so to speak, they don't play together again. And they might play different music, but it will not be the same thing. And in many cases, we may lose the ability to do the things that we now do so expertly in space and do the best in the world in space.

Casey Dreier: There's like five things I want to follow up from that-

Janet Vertesi: Do it.

Casey Dreier: ... Janet.

Janet Vertesi: I'd like to hear it. Yes.

Casey Dreier: The first is just that I want to just maybe talk a little bit more about the idea of group knowledge because I think it seems counterintuitive or just maybe not intuitive, maybe, in a way, for how humans tend to think about other humans. That there's this idea of the singular genius or the individual who is responsible for something and it's in someone's brain that then... Or maybe even in a more modern parlance, some captain of industry who can come and marshal and, through some Nietzschean will to power, shape the world to their whims. But this isn't it, this is saying that there is something about that knowledge exists, it's distributed, but also in the interactions themselves, which is maybe some interesting epistemological challenge to me understanding this. So is it the dynamics itself in a sense, have some emergent knowledge property come out of that?

Janet Vertesi: Well, I think, I'm not saying that humans don't have their own brains and they don't think themselves and they don't have knowledge, they do. But we also have this other property, which is that humans work collectively in groups and in teams. And in teams, humans can do way more than they can do alone.

I think culturally, especially in the West, especially in America, we have this fantasy or ideal of the singular cowboy who can do all the things or the genius who's going to be able to do it all themselves. But when you actually look at the history of science and technology, it was never a single person. They often had wives that were assisting them in the laboratory. They had entire laboratory assistants. They were interacting with other scientists, they were working with other people's tools and technologies. You're never doing it all alone. And that's okay. Humans are also an interdependent group species. We have ways of organizing ourselves. That's another thing humans do as primates, right?

I think the other thing that's interesting is I've done a lot of work with NASA teams for the last 20 years, and my most recent book, Shaping Science, looks at how different teams organize themselves in order to do their science on Mars or at Saturn. And one of the things I found that was so provocative in that book was that I was looking at these two teams that were concurrent, these two exploration teams that were happening concurrently, and they were happening at many of the same institutions, and they even involved the same people. And those people behaved differently depending on the structure of the organization, of the group that they were in. And literally, you could go from one meeting in the morning with somebody and they behave one way, and then you see them at another meeting in the afternoon, they behave entirely differently.

So humans are also really good at code switching as they move from one group to another. But this really helps demonstrate that organizations and teams are also super fundamental to how humans operate. And if that's kind of a bit of dark matter in the way that we usually talk about knowledge, it needs to come to the forefront as we try to think about what knowledge needs to be sustained into the future. There may be some knowledge that we're ready to let go behind, but there's some knowledge that is technically bound up in, in my understanding, the continued American project that needs to be respected for the kind of group and collective knowledge that it is, and that's my concern.

Casey Dreier: It strikes me that it's the idea that the knowledge is not just distributed in a group, but, as you kind of point out there, it's the culture of the group itself and that ongoing interactions between those group members.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah. Yeah.

Casey Dreier: I guess the collective brains together know something that distributed, as you said, as if they kind of go off to the winds, don't fully capture that.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, they can't-

Casey Dreier: Or it's impossible to capture that.

Janet Vertesi: It's impossible to capture that. Absolutely, it's impossible. Even if they try-

Casey Dreier: Because it's almost like a domain error, right? That you need the group to reflect it, not the individual.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, absolutely. And even if you go off into the wilds or you try to document everything, document your code or whatever, there will always be stuff you forget. And there's always the stories. So this is the other thing, working with spacecraft teams that have to go a really long way. For instance, there's a group trying to build an interstellar probe. And we've talked a lot about this problem of knowledge transmission because the people who are going to build the thing are not going to be the people who fly it or the people who do research with it because it's going to take 50 years to get there. Those people will be retired, they may be dead.

So we had to think carefully about building an organizational culture that would transmit those stories. Oh, this one time this error happened and we figured out how to fix it this way. And because it happened 25 years ago and the person who trained you happened to tell you that over lunch one day, you're able to fix it later on down the line.

And we've seen that with projects like the Mars Exploration Rovers. We've seen that with Cassini, we saw that with Galileo. These longer lived missions, that transmission of knowledge, of group knowledge over the generations and as part of the collective group is absolutely crucial. Otherwise, you can't fly it, you can't operate it. You've inherited a thing that you do not understand.

Casey Dreier: Is it possible conceptually to capture all that information? Or is there something that is just fundamentally distinct about certain types of experiential knowledge that cannot be codified into symbols?

Janet Vertesi: I'm not sure that there's something specific that characterizes that type of knowledge as different. It has to do with what we think is relevant and also with problems of interpretation. Because we all belong to the same culture, we share in communication the same cultural substrate. So if I say, "Brush your teeth," you know what I mean, right?

Casey Dreier: Right.

Janet Vertesi: As opposed to... And you know to use a toothbrush and not a hairbrush.

Casey Dreier: Yeah, right. Not going to-

Janet Vertesi: Now you know like your... But you could imagine that 500 years in the future, someone finds instructions, they're like, "Brush your teeth," and they're like, "What?" Because they don't share the same cultural framing or background. So even the way that we might write down the most considered set of instructions, it's just not going to include that.

And we look at also the way that Apollo did everything with the kinds of computers they had in those days. The people that are around building computers now actually are not even remotely trained on anything like those systems. This is like the problem with talking to Voyager and it's still commanded in FORTRAN 77. And they're like, "Raise your hand if you still remember machine assembly language." They don't even teach that in computer science classes anymore. My students are just, they come in, they're like, "Yes, I know Python." You can't talk to it that way.

So a lot of the knowledge is so situational, is local to the organization, is not necessarily capturable. The cultural context shifts, so you don't have an ability to interpret that without anyone to sort of serve as a guide. And then because you don't know what's relevant, you don't totally know everything to write down. It's only in the moment that someone would be like, "Oh, remember that one thing that happened 25 years ago and it was this bit got flipped," or something. That's where, this is why we find so much tacit knowledge is that stuff we can't express.

Casey Dreier: Right. I guess it's this kind of concept of not just intuition, but knowing, as you point out, this cultural context. But even you're always going to have to make some judgment about what to write down and what not to.

Janet Vertesi: Sure, yeah.

Casey Dreier: And I guess we're probably really bad about understanding what is obvious to others versus our own experience. It makes me think of, there's a great book called On Food and Cooking by Harold McGee, and it contains throughout it these first known recipes of various types of things. So it's like from back to the Roman era or even the 1500s, and a lot of the recipes are like, "Add enough of this ingredient until it looks right."

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, basically.

Casey Dreier: And it was like, okay, they wrote it down, but I have no idea what it looks right. It probably seems so obvious to them, they wouldn't even bother to write it down, particularly if there's a cost to recording information, not even necessarily in the physical medium these days, but the time of doing it. And if you just don't know... You can almost fractalize down to details about what to include and then suddenly it's a pointless document if it's millions of pages long because it's telling you how to walk slowly towards the machine to begin with.

Janet Vertesi: Exactly.

Casey Dreier: So kind of going back to groups, is this issue or the idea of group knowledge that is sustained, how can that be preserved then smartly? I imagine it's a more complex relationship between just add more people or keep the same number of people, right? That there's some sort of application of it that doesn't, a priori, exclude the idea of reducing the number of people, I would assume, right?

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, this is why we build institutions, Casey. We build institutions and organizations to build group knowledge and then sustain it and transmit it. And when you deeply trouble that institution, when you make massive cuts to the personnel in that institution, then you threaten the ability of the institution to have any continuity in keeping that knowledge alive. That's just probably sociology of organizations 101.

So are there best practices? For sure. We think a lot about knowledge management in organizational studies and theory. We think a lot about that in terms of archiving. But we also think about that in terms of mentorship and so on.

In many ways, a lot of this is fracturing because of the way the labor force has fractured in the last 20 years and moved more towards contracting, but also moved more towards the kind of idea that you don't stay in an organization very long anymore. Young people, they have this idea that you move out to move up. Many of the hierarchies are broken, so you work in one place for a year and a half, and then you get a job at the next rung up, but at a different company. And then you work there for a year and a half and then so on. And you kind of put your career together across many different places and spaces. And you sign an NDA everywhere you go, so you can't really share that information, but you're moving around this networked community within your field.

And one of the problems we've had with that is that it challenges our ability to have knowledge sustainability within an organization. It's hard then to mentor somebody with how a particular thing works here and then have them leave. Now, they may always come back, they may come back at a different rung of the organization and use that knowledge, but it's made for some challenges in continuity.

And then I would say also when a company is bought out or when everybody, like an entire group of leadership retires at the same time, or if you have a competitor come in and there's mass departures at the same time or randomly, that will really threaten the remaining threads of how knowledge is communicated and passed down.

Casey Dreier: You mentioned something that resonated with me, which is the idea of mentorship. And again, I keep coming back to this theme of knowledge is basically a product of interpersonal engagements. And again, you've studied this very closely at a, I'd say... Is it a small scale? I guess I don't know what the range of teams that sociologists study, but within-

Janet Vertesi: We call it the mesoscale.

Casey Dreier: Yeah, within NASA mission teams. How does that effectively address some of these? Is it just purely by watch me what I do, and then through that you're just kind of taking in all of this nonverbal, non-written down information in a more whole, because we're just using multiple senses? Or is this something, and maybe the extension of that, is that something that's possible or degraded then through remote work? Does this require in-person presence?

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, there's a lot of challenges associated with remote work, I've given several talks about this as well, and they're well-known challenges. So I'll mention that we've studied remote work for 40 years, so we know what makes it work and we know what makes it not work. And we studied it also from within tech companies that were outsourcing newly in the 1980s and the 1990s to places like India and so on. And then we were able to implement best practices in some of those units, which was great. And then when the pandemic happened, everybody took every best practice and flipped it on its head and did the exact opposite.

In fact, it broke a lot of teams as opposed to being able to produce continuity. And that doesn't mean remote work can't work. It just means that the kind of remote work that we implemented then was dysfunctional. And was dysfunctional in ways that we could have told you in advance, and many of us were trying to say something about during the moment.

So yes, remote work can be a challenge to this. And we've also studied that, like how remote teams, they usually get together on a cadence. They have meetings in person, they go visit each other's work sites to get a sense of the common ground for communication and the way that an organization functions and how they make decisions there. And that's really the glue that holds these organizations together, even when they work remotely for long periods of time.

It's not even necessarily a question of quantifiable knowledge that's transferred, it's ways to approach problems. So the best kind of mentorship I've seen happens in teams as they're trying to solve a problem together. That's where the tacit knowledge really comes out. So if you're in an engineering team, you're all about solving problems. You've got five people or eight people, and you're all trying to put a system together and you've got your different subsystems and you're trying to figure out how they're going to piece together as puzzle pieces. And you've got challenges, you've got problems. Is there enough power? Is there enough data?

And it's in that group work that people learn not only how we solve problems around here, but they also learn or pick up the, "Oh, yeah. Well, last time we did it this way," or, "Oh, hey, yeah, this is kind of an unusual piece of equipment. Let me tell you about it." Those are the kinds of things that happen when you're working on shared tasks. So it isn't so much like, "My mentor took me for coffee today and he told me X, Y, X, which now my knowledge has been transferred." It's more we are working together in a group and the mentorship is in the task, and the group culture is in the task. Every time we get together and we try to build this thing or we try to fly that thing or we try to come up with a solution to a problem, we're producing and we're engaging in that kind of group knowledge.

Casey Dreier: It strikes me as the difference between a participatory versus passive relationship to this information.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah. And that's why it's not codifiable. It's so situated, it's so in the moment. It's quite ephemeral and it's really personal, and it's interpersonal. So that makes it the kind of thing that we, culturally, haven't spent a lot of time being attuned to. And in fact, we often pooh-pooh it. We're like, "Well, that's just sort of messy social sciency stuff." But that is actually the human glue that enables these big projects to succeed.

And I think that's also what attracts me to places like NASA. These are people doing complicated, incredibly complex things, things that have never been done before. JPL's motto is dare mighty things together for a reason. They're doing mighty and difficult and first time things, and they're doing it in teams. And the teams have to be optimized for precisely approaching those challenges. And that means that they're not coming to it entirely afresh. They're coming to it with the experience of 60 years of meeting similar kinds of challenges and building on that knowledge together to approach the next challenge. And that, I think, is what makes a place like NASA so fascinating for someone like me is because that social messy stuff is actually what makes these things fly.

Casey Dreier: Is there a flip side of this where you could have a negative consequence of institutional knowledge or capability carried through either by, in a sense, like small C kind of conservative thinking or highly structured just ways of doing things?

Janet Vertesi: Yeah.

Casey Dreier: The culture basically works against you. So this isn't necessarily always like a benefit, I imagine it can flip both ways.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, absolutely. These things are messy and contingent. So the thing that saves you in one round is going to sink you in the next round. And organizations are also always learning. A place like JPL learned a lot from losing a lot of Mars missions in the 1990s under faster, better, cheaper. And that also changed some of the ways that they did things, in a way that maybe any organization that doesn't have a revenue stream other than the government would have to think about that as well.

So yes, organizations can get stodgy in their ways. They can be too freewheeling in their ways. They can be so interested in disruption and changing everything that they fail to build on an existing knowledge base, and then they crash. And they can also be too reliant on an old guard, and so they don't let young people through.

There's lots of different organizational cultures out there, but they do enable some kind of knowledge transfer in an institutional context, and that's why we can change the culture of a place if it's working against us. That's completely something you can do. But as long as you're keeping a lot of the same people around, or at least enough of the same people around, you can keep the knowledge that's embedded with that group.

Casey Dreier: One of the, I think, areas of focus of your piece that you wrote that I really resonated with was, it's this idea that it's not like by default we have to have 30,000 people working for NASA, and that's the only way to measure if the culture is working. But it seems like it's how you're strategically ensuring this, as you said, this institutional knowledge transfer. And if, again, this idea that knowledge is distributed among all the brains working together to make this kind of, let's just say, to extend this metaphor, one big giant knowledge brain of how to land something on Mars, the approach of firing people because they're fireable or encouraging people to take buyouts, which isn't just an idea now, but was done in the early 1990s at NASA, it seems, like I have in my head this image of taking this big group brain and then just poking random holes in it as people depart.

And that's like the unstrategic outcome, right? Then the group brain is just missing pieces, whether they were important or not, to that institutional transfer. There wasn't a way to evaluate and ensure that you had a functioning brain at the end of it.

Janet Vertesi: So you said-

Casey Dreier: is that too weird of a visual?

Janet Vertesi: No, I think you're-

Casey Dreier: [inaudible 00:33:42].

Janet Vertesi: I'm trying to say, yeah, you're right. But here's what makes it even more devastating. Okay, so first of all, 30,000 employees at NASA. Google has 180,000, so let's get real about the scale we're talking about here.

Casey Dreier: Yeah, NASA itself has only, that was like at the peak of Apollo, it was 36,000.

Janet Vertesi: Oh, great.

Casey Dreier: Right? And this is-

Janet Vertesi: So what is it now?

Casey Dreier: I think NASA's now around 17, 18,000.

Janet Vertesi: 18,000. So Google is 10 times larger than NASA. And how many things has it landed on the moon? So this is a small organization for the weight of the things that it's doing.

Second, as you well know, Casey, NASA is not a singular entity. NASA, from the beginning, had competition built into it through the distribution of various centers. So there's Marshall that does more propulsion. There's Houston, which does the human space flight. There's launch capabilities in Florida, and there's robotics out at JPL, and there's the wind tunnel at... I could go on.

But there's local knowledge specific, talk about distributed cognition, specific to different parts of a spacecraft system. And that encourages, when NASA spends money, first of all, that there's competition so that you can keep the prices relatively low, reminding us that these are all bespoke objects that they're building. But also enables us to spread the money from the federal government, which is not a lot of money, to lots of different places around the country. And that was purposeful in terms of how NASA was set up.

So it is already starved for people to try to do the enormity of the things that it's trying to do, and it's also starved for money of the enormity of the things it's trying to do. The budget we're talking about in NASA, this is like a teeny fraction of a penny off of every US tax dollar. And when you look at something like planetary science, it's even smaller than that. And the budgets are going up and down and up and down all the time, mostly down. Sometimes they're up a little bit, but they're not up a lot, right? We're way down from where we were under Apollo and even under Viking.

Casey Dreier: Yeah, and even if do they do go up, maybe the money shows up six months into your fiscal year. [inaudible 00:35:54]-

Janet Vertesi: And it also shows up at the wrong time. So there is a well-established development curve for the way we build new technologies. It's the technology development curve. It kind of looks a bit like a wave where it goes down for a bit, which that's where you put a lot of money into it in R&D. And then it swoops up, and that's where you get all the revenue because it all works out in the end.

And NASA can't do that because it can't go into the red. It can't have a slush fund lying around for R&D. Private companies, if they start going over on R&D, they can start moving money over from different places. They can charge commercial satellites a little bit more than they would otherwise in order to have the money around for a particular project. And NASA, as a federal agency, cannot do that, it cannot move the money that way. So when you restrict funds and you restrict personnel, and then you start poking holes in these institutions which are already pretty small and fragile for the kind of work that they're trying to do, you have tremendous fragility and loss of knowledge that's basically on the line.

And you might think, "Oh, well, we're just making it more efficient. We're just making it more efficient because we're getting rid of the people." But actually, in my research in the history of NASA and the history of these missions, that makes it less efficient because you don't have the resources to get the job done. So you end up trying to rely on other factors or other things or have gaps in your knowledge or rely on a free instrument from the French or something in order to get you through, get you through these impossible budget caps. And then it turns out, oh, wait a minute, the French are late, so we slipped the Mars launch window, so it's going to be an extra two years and however many hundred million dollars that is, right? So it turns out when you lose the people and you starve these institutions of funding, you actually cripple their capability to behave efficiently.

Casey Dreier: Well, again, it just strikes me as this idea, again, if the knowledge and the knowledge transfer process requires interaction between people, cutting... If you want that knowledge transfer to happen, and if you want them to be able to tackle these really difficult problems, you basically need to give them the time to interact with each other.

Janet Vertesi: You need to give them, yeah, people time.

Casey Dreier: Yeah. And you can't shortcut that.

Janet Vertesi: No.

Casey Dreier: You can't make that cheaper. And-

Janet Vertesi: No, you can't.

Casey Dreier: ... the cost of labor is just always [inaudible 00:38:10].

Janet Vertesi: People are expensive.

Casey Dreier: Yeah.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah. Let me give you a good example of this, Casey. So the Psyche mission, for instance, which had a launch delay, which was not related to this particular problem. I sat on the Psyche IRB. And Psyche was one of those missions that decided to go with a commercial satellite bus from a small organization called Maxar, at the time that was producing commercial satellites. And they were trying to get them ready for it, they wanted to move into the deep space market, and so this was an opportunity to work with JPL to prepare their satellites for deep space, which is, as your listeners may or may not know, outside of Earth orbit is a really different context. So just because you get something into Earth orbit says nothing about what's going to happen once you get farther out from Earth and once you're into deep space. So it actually requires quite a lot of work.

And the PI of that mission, Lindy Elkins-Tanton, and her project manager spent a ton of time going back and forth between JPL in Pasadena and where Maxar was based in the Bay Area, back and forth, and making sure that those groups came to visit JPL and the JPLers went to visit them. And they had such a tight team. That group really understood each other. And the problem with Psyche had nothing to do with that. So when people first came in, they were like, "Well, we've seen this problem before that these are two different organizations and they just aren't talking to each other." No, no, no. They put in the time and the effort.

The other thing I'll mention about that is that is expensive. It costs money to go visit, it costs money to have people that are really spending the time to make sure the pieces fit together well. However, it only costs that money on the front end because once you've invested in those relationships and that knowledge transfer, the knowledge flows. And then you're way better equipped later on down the line to fix problems as they come up. And they did come up for Psyche and because that relationship was so tight, they were able to fix those problems. But if they hadn't spent the money upfront on that integration between those two organizations, they wouldn't have been able to do it and they wouldn't have been able to solve the problems.

And this is important to this question about knowledge and knowledge transfer because when we talk about wanting to use money associated with NASA to invigorate a private space flight sector, the way to do it is to do what Psyche did with Maxar. It's to say, "Okay, let's get a really capable team at a NASA center." Could be Goddard, could be Langley or whatever, and get them working really closely with a private space provider because it's in that relationship that the knowledge will transfer and they'll be able to do something really exciting. Getting rid of people at NASA who know how to do the things, and assuming they'll just find their way to Blue Origin or Intuitive Machines or something, and do it there, that's not how the knowledge works. That's not how knowledge transfer works. So, in fact, you'll lose those capabilities as opposed to retaining them.

And another great example is Langley stepped in and helped Intuitive Machines when it turned out their landing mechanism was failing as they're trying to land on the moon. And it was the relationship between Intuitive Machines and the NASA center that enabled that mission to make it down to the surface.

So these, I'm not saying it's private versus public, because actually at NASA it's always been both. But if you're trying to think about how you do a knowledge infusion from a public organization to a private one, it's not through these random cuts to the public one in the hopes that somehow the private will pick it up. You have to do it through extended collaboration between two organizations and institutions to be sure that knowledge transfers.

Casey Dreier: We'll be right back with the rest of our Space Policy Edition of Planetary Radio after this short break.

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Casey Dreier: I'm reminded of how Europa Clipper team discovered that they had an issue with the transistors.

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, so the MOSFETs.

Casey Dreier: Yeah, that they were basically randomly were at a conference and someone came up to... I think it was like someone just came up to the engineer and said, "Hey, we're having this issue. Are you aware of it?"

Janet Vertesi: "You may want to check this out."

Casey Dreier: Yeah.

Janet Vertesi: Well, and actually the MOSFETs are a great example because that could have sunk the mission. There were hundreds of those things, right? It was just like, how do we solve this problem? And it turned out that because the project manager had friends and colleagues who worked at other NASA centers and at private space providers and at private companies, they worked together across those relationships to figure out the problem. And that solved it for far less money. I can't even imagine how much more expensive it would have been if there had been a launch slip accordingly. And because there was knowledge transfer, there were relationships, there was organizational connection there, that knowledge could flow and the problem could be solved.

And these are the stories I think are so fascinating about NASA, is it really is about how people work together to solve really hard problems. We keep thinking it's just about the kind of whizzbang rockets and stuff, but actually we forget that there's people and organizations and cultures and relationships that are behind every single one of those things. And if those relations are going awry, you're going to have trouble with the technology as well.

Casey Dreier: Another way to think of this is how much... If the government was trying to save money by preventing their experts from going to conferences, maybe they would've saved a few thousand dollars on that, whoever-

Janet Vertesi: Exactly.

Casey Dreier: ... [inaudible 00:44:42] that conference. And then they would have lost a 5-billion-dollar spacecraft when it first-

Janet Vertesi: Exactly.

Casey Dreier: ... [inaudible 00:44:47] Jupiter, right?

Janet Vertesi: Exactly.

Casey Dreier: And that relationship wouldn't have even been obvious in retrospect. Wouldn't have even known that was the opportunity to fix it.

Janet Vertesi: And we had this problem on Europa Clipper where I was an embedded social scientist and member of the team. And very early on, in order to save money, Europa Clipper was asked to not meet in person for a year. Oh, this is at a time when they have to be doing a ton of thoughtful integrative work, thinking about how are the pieces of the spacecraft going to fit together? They had to be doing the relationship building, they had to be doing the knowledge transfer. That was where the mentorship needed to happen, that was where the stories of, "Oh, we did it this way on Galileo, and so this is going to be helpful." That's where all of that knowledge transfer needed to happen.

And to be told then, "Oh, you don't get to meet," meant that it couldn't happen. And we struggled to figure out how do we replace those contexts? Because also, at the time, under austerity restrictions, scientists weren't also allowed to go to scientific meetings. They were showing up at the AGU on their own dime because they were restricted from travel, because they believed it was so important to be there to make sure that this work, this human social collective, interactive knowledge work needed to get done. And again, it's these sort of shortsighted things like penny wise and pound foolish that it looked like it was going to save so much money, and in the long term, missing that opportunity to build those relationships cost you in the long run.

Casey Dreier: I've been really obsessed recently about what is easily measurable and what isn't, and that we optimize for the easily measurable stuff. So it's easy to measure, I'm going to stop people from traveling to conferences and I will save a couple hundred thousand dollars this year. But you can't measure that three year later consequence of delayed spacecraft or inefficient design or any number of things, right? Because there's not a clear causal link between the two of those. And you end up kind of incentivizing bad decisions like this, or maybe not fully strategic decisions for what are you actually trying to do in a long or any kind of long-term thinking, maybe is the essence of it.

We've talked, in a sense, a lot about NASA. Is NASA distinct, in your observations, for how these teams work? Is there something unique about either what NASA does? And you kind of maybe imply this a bit with space being this profoundly unforgiving domain to work in, the visibility of it or just the complexity of it. Is NASA, in a sense, a unique institution to think about workforce knowledge transfer versus others?

Janet Vertesi: Yes and no. One of the things that's interesting about NASA is that people tend to work in those teams for much longer. The space community is relatively small, even with the new entrants in new space, people tend to pretty much know each other. It's not as sprawling as, say, biotech or medicine or bioengineering or so on. So these are communities that actually know each other and they work together for incredibly long periods of time.

We started working with Europa Clipper in what? I started working with them in 2009, they weren't even a mission yet. They were selected in like 2015, started in 2016, and they didn't launch until last October. And they're not going to get there until what? 2030 or 2032. So it felt like this working on Cassini, they talked about being there for births and deaths and marriages. You're in for the long haul on some of these missions. They take a really long time.

And that also makes them very vulnerable to political shifts and changes, which they're aware of. If you're in the middle of something and suddenly there's a new administration that comes in and says, "No, we don't want you to do that," you're in trouble. This also happened to a very small mission, CONTOUR, which was run by APL many years ago, under faster, better, cheaper. And it just so happened, they're trying to put this together in like 30 months, which is nothing for spacecraft, and in the middle of it, there's a federal election. And then there was a labor dispute, and all of a sudden all civil servant workers, their salaries went up, and so that completely blew through their budget. But they couldn't have predicted that.

Anyway, so there's some things about space that are unique. One is that people work together for these incredibly long periods of time. Two, they're very politically sensitive because they have only a single point of funding, and that's a single point of failure. And when you're talking especially about deep space, there's been changes with these opening up of near earth and sublunary orbit, et cetera, to private players. But in deep space, you have to be reliant on government and multi-governmental funding agencies and space agencies, and you're subject to different legal regulations associated with space. And then you're also subject to really different environmental conditions in deep space. Planning, it's not just landing something on Mars, but even getting it to Mars, that takes a lot of tacit knowledge and distributed cognition, for sure. So it's highly specialized knowledge. It's highly subject to major slings and arrows of outrageous fortune.

It's also very physical work. A lot of studies have taken place of software engineering teams. And when you're working with software, there's a materiality to software, but it's a lot easier to pivot than when you're trying to build a thing with the kind of precision that will get it to Jupiter, and it's the size of a school bus. That's a really different kind of phenomenon.

And then the teams will work together for decades. So they've know each other incredibly well. There's not really big changes. I remember talking to a friend who does organizational sociology in the private sector, and they were just so surprised that the PIs have the same role forever. It's like a lifetime appointment, there's no removal. We're seeing that increasingly in the private sector too, with certain sort of charismatic CEOs, but there isn't a kind of move out philosophy, particularly among the top, and particularly in science.

Now, that said, there's a lot about NASA that's really similar to other organizations. It's work. It's a workplace. It's a workplace where people are really mission-driven, though. They're really committed to the public idea of space exploration and doing this for the glory of mankind and for humankind, for the Earth, for America. They're really committed to the mission of NASA.

But it's a workplace. You go to work every day. You've got problems you've got to solve. You've got people you're working with. You've got too many emails and messages coming in on Slack and people tweeting things in the middle of stuff. So it's, in many ways, some of the interactions locally are quite familiar, and you'd almost forget that what's happening here is people are trying to go into space.

Casey Dreier: How has technology changed the transfer of knowledge or any of these kind of team dynamics? You said you've been doing this for 20 years, studying NASA teams. A lot's changed, right? Even things like Slack or Google Sheets, collaborative editing.

Janet Vertesi: Those kinds of technologies.

Casey Dreier: Yeah. Have any of those fundamentally changed these dynamics or reduced this need for the interpersonal in-person engagement?

Janet Vertesi: No. No, those technologies were only ever built to continue to support remote work in which there was a cadence of in-person interaction. They were built coming out of that period of time when we were studying remote teams and how to do distributed collaboration. And the idea was that still, people would get together. So they can sustain for a long time, but they won't sustain forever.

I think I've seen changes. When I first started working on the Mars Exploration Rover, everything happened on teleconference calls, and there was a Polycom system that kind of sometimes worked, and there was an off-the-shelf camera that sat in the corner somewhere. To now people are talking on Slack or on Mattermost or whatever.

I think what's interesting now is you have to remember these are multi-institutional collaborations. So if you were one of the 180,000 people who work at Google, you have a whole bunch of Google tools. You have your Google computer, you have all the Google G Suite, I presume that you do all your work on, and that's how it is. But if you are JPL and you have a Cisco WebEx contract and a Slack contract for government work, and then you're at APL, but APL has a Zoom government contract and a Mattermost for work, you can't talk to each other. So ironically, in some ways, even though we have a proliferation of these collaborative workplace tools, they've kind of created a paradoxical situation where on the one hand, we think we can just use them and never see each other, which is not true. And then secondly, we can't even really talk to each other because it's like, whose meeting room are we using today? Right? So I've seen those things cause a problem.

And then, of course, in the period of remote work under the pandemic where people weren't just working remotely from different teams, they were working remotely from each other, it was like an atomization of work. There was a lot of isolation and a lot of knowledge that was lost and couldn't be transferred.

One of the things we found on the Psyche mission was that because people weren't coming in, because of the pandemic, information couldn't really get around. And at JPL, there's this cafeteria that everyone goes to at lunch, and you see everyone that you've worked with on other projects. And other organizations are like this too, right? If you go to Google with their five-star chefs in the cafeteria, you see everyone and you're having a really good meal. And that's where the knowledge is shared. It's in these informal settings is where that tacit knowledge sort of comes out and that mentorship happens. And the pandemic broke that. It broke that for so many organizations, not just at NASA, but elsewhere.

There was a great paper that came out of a study team by Microsoft, for instance. And Microsoft could do this because it was one single organization with hundreds of thousands of people and everyone's on Microsoft Teams, and they could analyze what happened to everyone's communication. And they were using the same tools that they'd been using three weeks beforehand or in January of 2020. But by the time they were into March of 2020 and December of 2020, all of the informal interactions had dropped out. Everyone was only talking to their closest ties and their closest collaborators.

So the innovation that happens when you put people together, the knowledge transfer that happens when you put people together across units, the informal interactions that enable mentorship and enable knowledge transfer to take place, were gone. Absolutely gone. And this paper is fantastic because they draw out the social network analysis and you're like, "Well, that's pretty fragmented." And we saw that at NASA as well, as we did in all kinds of organizations.

So does it require face-to-face work? It requires a cadence of face-to-face work. It doesn't mean that you have to be face-to-face all the time, but it does mean there has to be a regular cadence of face-to-face to enable the use of those tools over the long term, as opposed to thinking, "We can just rely on these tools."

Casey Dreier: As we're talking right now, we're in this weird interregnum where we know that a reduction in force at NASA, a RIF is coming, but we don't know what it looks like. And it seems to be dynamic even internally. But that's been on top of this encouraged early retirement, taking anyone. I think NASA lost 5% of its workforce just from that. Other agencies have seen obviously much worse layoffs.

And this idea of just reducing the number of people, it seems like just for the sake of reduction as a de facto good thing, does this require... Again, I think we've established that this is probably not the best idea to maintain institutional knowledge transfer, but I think if pressed, I would say, particularly from some of the more tech-minded individuals, and we've seen this in Silicon Valley side, I'll say maybe they would present this, "Well, we don't need as many people now because AI, whether now or in a few years, that will be a big enough and complex enough that it can hold, unlike a human brain, it will be able to hold the full complexity of landing on the moon. It will be able to hold the full complexity of landing on Mars on it, so we don't need people in the same way." How would you respond, I guess, to that framing that there's, "Oh, these new technologies are coming anyway that'll reduce this need, so we don't need to pay as many people off of government taxpayer dollars"?

Janet Vertesi: Well, the first thing I'd say is it's not a lot of government taxpayer dollars already. Secondly, I-

Casey Dreier: I agree.

Janet Vertesi: ... I would say, but it isn't.

Casey Dreier: I agree.

Janet Vertesi: I would say that if you wanted to make sure that we never visited another planet or successfully really landed on the moon in the next 15 years or maybe 20 or maybe more, this would be the way to do it. So it depends what you're going for, right?

Casey Dreier: Well, maybe [inaudible 00:57:40]-

Janet Vertesi: S0 I can think of no better way-

Casey Dreier: Where do you put this kind of... AI, obviously, lots of fantastical claims about it, but in terms of-

Janet Vertesi: Oh, about AI. Mm-hmm.

Casey Dreier: Yeah. In terms from a sociological, like your field studying it, how is this seen as both a how it's being... I guess I'm trying to frame this as I see a lot of actors, let's just say [inaudible 00:58:05]-

Janet Vertesi: Will AI fix it?

Casey Dreier: Well, AI will fix it, but also that it'll be the stand-in for an individual at some level, right?

Janet Vertesi: We have this amazing mythology in our culture that it doesn't matter how often we prove it wrong, we still believe it, that if you bring in machines, the work will be more productive and efficient. And it never actually works because machines actually take more people and they often take more skilled people or different kinds of people than you had before. So you see a change in your labor force composition, but in fact, in many ways, you're paying for more people to be doing more of the work. Sometimes it's just associated with keeping up the machinery.

And we saw this with early industrialization. We've seen this with computerization in the 1980s. There's this promise we're going to bring in this magical new tech and it will change everything, and technology doesn't change everything. It comes into existing social context, and it will have a lensing effect on that social context. It will reveal that context and sometimes in sort of its grotesqueness of its features. But it doesn't make it more efficient. I hate to pop your dreams here, but just it doesn't, it never has. The other thing that we know from-

Casey Dreier: Well, in some ways, I guess we've seen the reduction of manufacturing jobs in the United States, right? That's kind of related to-

Janet Vertesi: No, but you moved the manufacturing jobs in the United States. Just because you moved them and because you replaced some things with machinery, and then other people have to take care of the machinery, and you made it not your job to pay those people because it's another company that pays those people and they're trying to pay those people less, that doesn't mean you don't have people. You still have people.

Casey Dreier: Right.

Janet Vertesi: You still have people.

Casey Dreier: You still have people. And I guess that's the dynamics change. And this is kind of what I'm getting at a little bit with this, which is if the idea, particularly, again, from the Silicon Valley cohort that's kind of in the administration right now, that if they... I think I would say that they would take at face value that people can be replaced to a certain extent, and you just need fewer people to manage the AIs who are going to do all this grand thinking and so forth. And it's a difficult thing to talk about because at a certain level, it's like, well, if you assert magic, then what's the...

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, I don't know how to confront-

Casey Dreier: In what's happening and maybe we'll get... But this idea that, can you add some sort of... I guess that's what I was getting back with my original question. Are there ways to capture some of these interactions and knowledge even into a different type of system that is then able to, through whatever complex computation it has, capture or regurgitate them in a way that you just don't need as many people?

Janet Vertesi: Sure, yeah.

Casey Dreier: Because [inaudible 01:00:42] we have fewer jobs, a lot have been outsourced, but I think it's true that we have much more advanced robots than we did building cars 30 years ago.

Janet Vertesi: Sure.

Casey Dreier: There's a productivity gain from the application of technology in a lot of sectors. Could this be in the information sector or design sector or whatever we would call it in spacecraft building sector as well?

Janet Vertesi: So there's two answers to that. One is that most of the sociological studies of AI have demonstrated that it's pretty much people all the way down. So there's a level of computation, and then there's people cleaning the data. There's people in Nigeria writing answers. There's people in the Philippines. There's people who are not necessarily visible to you, but there's a lot of people involved in making AI look like it's doing everything all by itself. So the idea that AI comes in and replaces people, no, it just displaces people. It makes those people invisible to you.

One of my favorite new books by my colleague Ben Shestakofsky at the University of Pennsylvania was in an AI startup that became a unicorn. And it was fascinating because it got VC funding and as a result, it had to demonstrate growth that was so astronomical that all their software engineers had to interview new software engineers to grow. So most of their software engineers were too busy interviewing software engineers to actually build the software. So instead, they got an outsourced community in the Philippines to basically do the matching work behind the scenes, it was supposed to be the computer program. And then because that was a little bit janky and didn't work so well, they got people in Nevada to be the call office where people could call in because it wasn't working. And this somehow became the technology that was like a billion-dollar unicorn.

So when we talk about AI doing everything, we black box a set of computational things, and we ignore all of that human stuff. So first of all, let's just put an end to this idea that AI replaces humans. It displaces humans, it does change the arrangement of humans because of how this technology is being brought in. And that might mean that you don't have to pay them as much, but it's not inhuman.

But the other thing is, Casey, I've worked with artificially intelligent robots on other planets for 20 years, and the thing that I see that's really exciting about AI is not replacement, it's human-AI teaming. It's what can an AI system do that humans can't? And what can humans do that AI can't? And then can you put those things together in a way that's smart and in a way that's intelligent? So you're not bringing in a system to replace people. You're bringing in something that will do some work that they're not as good at, but that will also rely on people as well.

So for instance, the Mars Rovers. Those robots, they look like they're doing everything by themselves. There's huge teams of people back on Earth, scientists and engineers who are taking care of them, ensuring that they have what they need, sending them commands, doing the science. And it would be super boring if we just sent robots to Mars to just do robot things there. The excitement is that the robots and the people are working together.

And I remember also a scientist saying to me, "We don't want to go to Mars because our eyes can't see Martian minerals. We grew up on Earth, so Mars just looks red to us. But if we send these robots that have these cameras that can see in multiple filters, they can see things that humans can't see." And that's an example of the machine doing a thing the human can't, but the human is also doing the thing the machine can't, which is the critical thinking and the science and so on.

So when I think about AI transforming space exploration, I think about how much different it would be if we thought about, say, tacit knowledge in an organization. Maybe what we need is the tacit knowledge bot. What we need is if you're going to produce an RIF and get rid of all of your most senior people who have all of that tacit knowledge and who have all that mentorship to give, and enable some kind of way for an AI to work with a team that can transmit that knowledge, that's really different than saying, "We're going to get rid of everybody and we're just going to make the AI do it." And I think it's also more interesting, it's more exciting, it's more robust, the systems are more robust because you need people to check the AI. The computers don't do it perfectly. And that means you need people to still have the technical expertise to check the AI.

So the replacement, it doesn't work, Casey. And in fact, I think it's a recipe for more problems and more inefficiency because it doesn't work. But there are other ways to bring AI in that can work and that do work if we acknowledge that there's ways that humans work and ways that machines work, and it's exciting to bring them together in a different way.

Casey Dreier: Well, particularly if the way that AI works now is it's taking in primarily written information, recorded information that we've established earlier is incomplete for these types of tacit knowledge transfers.

Janet Vertesi: Exactly.

Casey Dreier: So even to make this tacit knowledge AI, which is you would need what? This whole new suite of sensors, three-dimensional video coverage of every interaction everywhere.

Janet Vertesi: You can't. It's not [inaudible 01:05:39].

Casey Dreier: Somehow integrating all that. And knowing, again, what's, as you point out, I always talk about this too, that the meaning is all user-derived from what an AI puts out. So if you don't know, if you're not the expert, you have no way to know if it's true or not because the AI doesn't know if it's true. It's just putting out a pattern match to you.

Janet Vertesi: That's true. But an AI could do things like say, "Hey, it looks like you're trying to..." It's like Clippy, "It looks like you're writing a letter. It looks like you're trying to solve this problem of radiation shielding. This is how Galileo did it. This is how Viking did it. This is how someone else did it. And here's the technical documentation, but here's who you should go talk to because John actually built the radiation shielding. And also this other guy, Gina, who passed away last year, she did a NASA oral history interview. Here's her oral history interview. You might want to look at that because she might say some things about radiation," right?

You could see something like that, that really thought about knowledge management in an organization and in a team and continuity. That's really different than saying, "We can do this faster, better, cheaper without you guys." We've done faster, better, cheaper before. You have to pick two.

Casey Dreier: Right. One more topic, and then I know we have to wrap up.

Janet Vertesi: Of course.

Casey Dreier: But I'm struck by this idea that maybe this approach, again, that we're seeing from the current White House, and again, we have yet to see the actual RIF, maybe it is very strategic and aligned and so forth, but what we've seen so far is very much not that. And I wonder if this idea, either not considering or being indifferent to the idea that institutions carry knowledge in and of themselves, that knowledge, in a sense, is an active process, and also that people are not just cogs in this machine, right? They're not interchangeable. It almost seems as some expression of this broader, I don't know. The book Bowling Alone or this institutional decline of just a loneliness or separation from community.

And it's either having an outright, not even a disdain for institutions, which are basically kind of a structured community, but not respecting the value of an institution because the individualistic or enabled by these new types of technologies that allow us to be separate from each other so easily, it's just not as relevant. And I wonder if this type of approach of just getting rid of these institutional structures because there's no appreciation for the value they carry is, in some way, an expression of that broader theme in culture that we're seeing right now.

Janet Vertesi: I think you're putting your finger on it, for sure. We're seeing a lot of institutions crumbling. I see this in my students who come into the classroom. They're traumatized by the fact that in high school they had to, or in elementary school they had to learn to duck and cover in case of an active shooter. And the banks had collapsed and they know people that were losing their jobs. All of these things that we would have relied on as institutions with some kind of stability are no longer stable. And there's a lot of public distrust in expertise and in institutions.

This is also taking place at the same time as we see more and more of this kind of apotheosis of the individual idea or ideology, that it's all about individuals. And these two things are happening at the same time, but they're also happening against a long backdrop, Casey. Like since the 1970s, there's been a successive withdrawal of funding from these institutions, which has made them less capable of achieving their job.

And it's a bit counterintuitive because you'd think that if you don't pay them as much, maybe they'll get more efficient. But actually, if you don't pay them as much, or if you withhold funding, it gets more expensive. We see this in studies of poverty and families in poverty, that it's actually expensive to be poor because you can't afford the good stuff. If you eat McDonald's every day for 10 years and then you have heart issues after that, the expenses pile up. They may not be an expense in the immediate moment, but they are expenses in the long term. And you always have to make decisions, again, that are penny wise but pound foolish that come back to bite you.

But the success of starving, since the Nixon era, of public funding from public institutions has weakened them to the point where we don't trust them anymore because they're not able to provide things for us. And we see them as bloated, as opposed to starved. And we also see that because they're not functioning, we assume that's their problem.

So the difficulty here is trying to find what's that balance? What do we expect from people working together in groups? What are the things that we can only do if we work together in groups? Which groups do we want to be funding? What knowledge do we need to continue? And then understanding that there are some things that cannot be achieved through efficiency gains.

I should say one other thing. In the op-ed, I talk about how at NASA, you bring your own cup and your own coffee. And I also spend a lot of time with companies in Silicon Valley. It's very different. There's a way in which if you have all the money in the world to burn on a thing, you can move quickly and look efficient. If you don't have the money to burn or you don't have the money to even expend on what's basic or necessary and you start cutting the people as well, then you actually lose institutional capability.

And my fear is because of this sort of obsession with the idea that if we get rid of people and we put in AI and we'll just... Well, those people will go to the private sector and it's going to be so much better for space. I wish I could agree with that, but all of the data shows that that's not true, and it's actually the opposite of what they want. So if there are goals they would like to achieve, you have to match the methods to the goals, instead of working with these old mythologies and these inherited problems.

Casey Dreier: Let's say Jared Isaacman gets through and is nominated, but then is approved by the Senate and says, "I read your op-ed. I really want to hear what you have to say. Tell me how to approach working with NASA and making it more efficient and making sure we keep this knowledge process." What are maybe the top three things that you would tell him about how to approach his workforce?

Janet Vertesi: So first, I would say, this is ironic but it's true, that when you starve an organization like NASA of funds, things get more expensive, not less. And what we've seen since the 1970s, as spacecraft have overblown their budget caps over and over again, is a result of a kind of asynchrony between how funding is allocated federally and what's necessary on the ground. And it's also a result of this kind of sense that we should pull the money back under austerity and not let these teams actually have the resources they need. So first, I would say we need to do a serious evaluation of how these things are funded that enables them to achieve what they need to achieve over the long term.

Secondly, I would say this is a really exciting time in space exploration because we have this new space sector. Now, we've always had a private sector in space. We tend to think of the Lockheed Martins and the Boeings as sort of cumbersome and old, but they were once the scrappy new space startups in the '60s and so on. So it's not like we haven't seen new entrants.

But what we do see with some of these new entrants is different models of funding that mean that they are responsive to different stakeholders. And if you need to grow so quickly that you can't make sure your product is safe, or if you have a billionaire writing checks for you, those are really different kinds of capabilities and technologies you're going to produce than at NASA. So we have to think about what's stability of funding also in the private sector.

And then third, I would say you need to get those organizations together. You cannot assume that if you cut a lot of people from NASA, they'll just find their way to Rocket Lab or SpaceX or something, and then they'll bring their knowledge with them. That's just not going to happen. If you want to grow a vibrant private space flight sector, you have to have a lot of small projects that bring experienced NASA centers together in teams with a single private space flight provider. And you need to make sure that there's a transfer of tacit knowledge between those teams, that they're working collaboratively together on a key product, they have a task that they're all doing together. And that in doing that task, that knowledge can be transferred.

So I'm not saying we shouldn't have a private space flight sector, I'm just saying, my goodness, you're letting these people hang out to dry because they won't have the knowledge they need. They won't have the tacit knowledge they need to succeed. And space is hard, you can't just sort of make it up. Even big places like SpaceX, they've really benefited from bringing people through from places like JPL. Blue Origins, the same way.

So we need more extensive opportunities to bring experienced NASA centers and personnel into long-term collaborative arrangements with some of these new entrants to enable the transfer of knowledge. So I think those are the three things. First, that starving NASA further of money is what makes it go over budget because it's actually expensive to be impoverished. Secondly, that you must be attentive to what these funding models look like in the private sector and also what expertise looks like in the private sector. If people are moving or hopping really quickly from one place to another, what's happening to the institutional knowledge there? Do they have a knowledge base that they're drawing on or not? And then third, to strategically, through smaller missions, put new entrants together with experts that have that old knowledge. Instead of getting rid of, making a whole bunch of people retire, who are the ones who actually know how to do the things, putting them in a room together and working on a task together with a new entrant, I think will do more to bolster the American private spaceflight sector than the alternative.

Casey Dreier: Those all sound super reasonable to me, so maybe he'll listen to this episode.

Janet Vertesi: I hope so.

Casey Dreier: Janet Vertesi is the author of the op-ed in question, Invigorating the American Space Sector Requires Working With NASA, Not Against It. We will link to it in this episode. You have a number of other books and writings. Do you want to just quickly mention your last book, Shaping Science, before we go?

Janet Vertesi: Yeah, sure. My most recent book, Shaping Science, is about two NASA teams, and it shows that the way that they're organized means that they end up doing really different science and building different technologies. And I'm currently finishing off a project about budgets and the history of budgeting at NASA, and it explains why these spacecraft teams have always gone over budget and how we can fix it.

Casey Dreier: I cannot wait to read that one. I'm excited for that.

Janet Vertesi: Solved the problem.

Casey Dreier: [inaudible 01:16:30] a better targeted, you have at least one person eager to purchase that book, I'm sure of many.

Janet Vertesi: Oh. I'll let you know.

Casey Dreier: Dr. Janet Vertesi, thank you so much for joining us this month. I really enjoyed speaking with you.

Janet Vertesi: It's a pleasure. Thanks so much, Casey.

Casey Dreier: We've reached the end of this month's episode of the Space Policy Edition of Planetary Radio. But we will be back next month with more discussions on the politics and philosophies and ideas that power space science and exploration.

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Mark Hilverda and Rae Paoletta are our associate producers of the show. Andrew Lucas is our audio editor. Me, Casey Dreier, and Merc Boyan, my colleague, composed and performed our Space Policy Edition theme. The Space Policy Edition is a production of The Planetary Society, an independent nonprofit space outreach organization based in Pasadena, California. We are membership based and anybody, even you, can become a member. They start at just $4 a month, that's nothing these days. Find out more at planetary.org/join. Until next month, ad astra.