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Jason DavisDecember 30, 2015

Preview: 2016 aboard the International Space Station

With two days left in 2015, NASA astronaut Scott Kelly looked out the window of the International Space Station before turning in for the night. Some 400 kilometers below, a range of craggy, snow-covered mountains stretched gently toward the horizon. Kelly tweeted the picture, identifying the scene as the Canadian Rockies. A few replies suggested he may have instead been looking at Canada's Coast Mountains.

Canadian Rockies (or Coast Mountains) from ISS

Scott Kelly / NASA

Canadian Rockies (or Coast Mountains) from ISS

Image gallery: NASA's top 15 ISS images in 2015

It was Kelly’s 277th day in space since arriving in March 2015, and he’s tweeted at least that many times during the past nine months. Kelly, along with cosmonaut Mikhail Kornienko, will wrap up nearly a year in space when they head home in March 2016 with Sergey Volkov, who brought a fresh Soyuz spacecraft to the station in September. Kelly and Kornienko have already set the record for the longest continuous stay aboard the ISS, and Kelly’s mission is the longest-ever for a NASA astronaut. The duo are participating in 18 experiments to see how spaceflight affects the human body. Kelly is also collecting data for 10 additional comparison studies with his Earth-bound twin brother, Mark.

When Kelly and Kornienko return next year, they'll be subjected to a battery of tests measuring how quickly a human can transition from microgravity to planetary surface conditions. One particular experiment suite, dubbed the field test, may be performed at the Soyuz landing site in Kazakhstan. There, scientists will see how well an astronaut suddenly thrust into a gravity-laden environment—Mars, for example—can perform basic post-landing tasks without assistance.

The return of Kelly, Kornienko and Volkov will mark the end of Expedition 46. After that, three full expeditions will be conducted, followed by the start of the 50th station expedition at the end of the year. Here is the full roster. NASA has not yet updated its timeline to reflect the extension of Expedition 47 to June 5, so some of these times are approximate and may shift slightly.

A total of 18 crewmembers will be aboard the station in 2016. Of those, nine are Russian, six are American, and three come from other international partners. This staffing mismatch continues to follow the convention that in the post-shuttle era, NASA astronauts spend about one-third less time aboard the ISS than their Russian counterparts.

Only two of the 18 crewmembers are women; both are NASA astronauts. Spaceflight rookie Kate Rubins comes aboard with Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency astronaut Takuya Onishi and Russia’s Anatoly Ivanishin for Expedition 48. Veteran Peggy Whitson will serve as part of Expedition 50 with Russian Oleg Novitskiy and the European Space Agency’s Thomas Pesquet.

ISS crews are expected to receive a variety of cargo craft in 2016, starting with a SpaceX Dragon as soon as February. It will be the first Dragon to fly since the loss of CRS-7 in June. Dragon will carry BEAM, the Bigelow Expandable Activity Module, in the spacecraft's unpressurized trunk. BEAM will be attached to the station's Tranquility module, node 3, using the laboratory's robotic arm, where it will be inflated into a 4-meter-long habitat. BEAM will stay connected to the ISS for about two years. Astronauts will periodically check the module’s thermal and radiation and shielding performance, and the results will inform future inflatable habitat technology.

Additional Dragon ISS cargo flights are planned, along with the usual lineup of Russian Progress resupply vehicles. Orbital ATK’s Cygnus spacecraft, which returned to action this month using a United Launch Alliance Atlas V rocket, will make its second Atlas-powered cargo run to the station in spring. Orbital’s Antares rocket is expected to return to flight in the first half of the year, sporting new RD-181 engines. That Antares return-to-flight mission will also send a Cygnus to the station, followed by a possible third Cygnus trip later in 2016.

Another potential station visitor this year is SpaceX's Crew Dragon. SpaceX previously indicated they would aim for an uncrewed test flight of the astronaut-carrying spacecraft by the end of the year. But details on the testing timeline have yet to solidify.

Last #MondayMotivation of 2015! Motivation is when your dreams put on work clothes.-#BFranklin #YearInSpace pic.twitter.com/BgTNnKo57b

— Scott Kelly (@StationCDRKelly) December 28, 2015

Read more: mission status, human spaceflight, International Space Station

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Jason Davis

Journalist and Digital Editor for The Planetary Society
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