Ted StrykJul 11, 2016

New Horizons Science Team Meeting Report

A year ago, the New Horizons team was convening in Baltimore for the Pluto encounter period. Over the following weeks, we saw Pluto and Charon go from being mottled blobs to worlds that are more fascinating than we could have ever imagined. On July 6 at Lowell Observatory in Flagstaff, Arizona, the science team convened at the place where Pluto was discovered.

At the Lowell Observatory gate
At the Lowell Observatory gate Image: Ted Stryk
The Milky Way over Lowell Observatory
The Milky Way over Lowell Observatory Image: Ted Stryk
The telescope used to discover Pluto
The telescope used to discover Pluto Image: Ted Stryk

The meeting started with a standing ovation for Alice Bowman and the mission operations team that saved the mission from its anomaly that caused it to lose contact a week before the encounter. Then came status updates.

New Horizons team meeting in Flagstaff
New Horizons team meeting in Flagstaff Image: Ted Stryk

Eighty percent of the data has now been downlinked. Once the remaining data has been returned, the datasets will be verified and then deleted from the spacecraft. You may notice that you never see New Horizons images with missing chunks, as was common in Voyager images and occurs from time to time even in contemporary images from orbiter missions such as Cassini. This is because it has recorders than can hold all the data from the flyby. Voyager could only store a few dozen images (or their equivalent in other data) onboard, so once it played data back, it was overwritten with new data. In the case of Cassini, with the constant influx of new data, its recorders have to be cleared more often. Since New Horizons has nothing to do right now that requires massive data storage, it can go back and re-return any lost transmissions. However, once it is verified that the dataset on Earth is complete, it will be cleared.

Example of Voyager 2 transmission dropout in an image of Triton
Example of Voyager 2 transmission dropout in an image of Triton Image: NASA / JPL-Caltech / Ted Stryk

This is because New Horizons has a new target: 2014 MU69, a small, primitive KBO that it will encounter in 2019. The extended mission was officially approved with the highest rating of any mission extension request this year, leading to a celebratory mood at the meeting. The extended mission includes not only this flyby, but distant studies of relatively “close” KBOs. Additionally, the spacecraft will take advantage of its unique vantage point to look for ring systems around Centaurs (small bodies sharing an orbit with Saturn), to try to get an idea if they are common or if the ring system found around the Centaur Charliko are an anomaly. It will also do heliospheric science and study cosmic dust.

Science goals for the New Horizons KBO target
Science goals for the New Horizons KBO target Image: Ted Stryk

In the coming weeks, the spacecraft will be conducting phase curve studies around Ixion, Quaoar, and 2002_MS4, all large KBOS, and doing a ring search for KBO 1994_JR1 (small but relatively nearby) and Centaurs Chiron and 2010_JJ12. By 2019, it will have studied ~20 KBOs as well as more Centaurs, examining their reflectance at different phase angles, their colors, and looking for rings.

Using Phobos to simulate what New Horizons will see at its KBO target
Using Phobos to simulate what New Horizons will see at its KBO target Image: Ted Stryk

Additionally, work is being done to learn more about the main target, 2014 MU69. By mid 2018, we hope to better pin down its size, as well as determine its color, rotation rate, and at least pin down upper limits on what satellites and/or rings might exist (better yet, we might actually spot said items). Much of this will be done on two upcoming observation campaigns using the Hubble Space Telescope. If occultation observations succeed, pinning down a better size and albedo (surface reflectance) might be determined. To put it another way, we know almost nothing about 2014 MU69, and prior to the flyby we hope to make a slight improvement in how little we know. Once the flyby occurs, we should get views with resolution as good as 25 meters/per pixel on the encounter hemisphere (the resolution of imagery of the other hemisphere depends on the rotation rate).

Fuel and budget margins are tight, so efforts are being made to make the best use of resources. This could potentially lead to the cancellation of some distant KBO/Centaur observations (no one wants to do these at the expense of the close encounter). Conversely, if enough fuel remains, a second close KBO encounter is not impossible (although it would take an incredible amount of luck).

At the end of the morning sessions, the team was treated to a slideshow of Michael Soluri’s photos from the encounter period. It is hard to believe it was a year ago that we all converged to turn the Pluto-Charon system into a real place. We also created a message in a bottle, so to speak, for any future Pluto Orbiter team, with predictions from all of us about what such a mission would be like and what it might find. I hope I live to see it opened.

Lowell Observatory has nightly public observing sessions. They initially thought that they had seen a large spike in attendance thanks to the Pluto flyby. Those gains, however, proved not to be a spike, but a sustained increase which continues to this day. They average about 400 people a night. The enthusiasm of the staff and of the visiting public was exciting to see. After the observatory closed, we had the opportunity to view Pluto through the historic 24 inch Clark refractor. This was the telescope with which the search for Pluto was initiated by Percival Lowell. Two nights after it was found using photographic plates from another telescope at the observatory, Pluto was seen directly by human eyes using this telescope.

New Horizons team member Alex Parker views the Sun
New Horizons team member Alex Parker views the Sun Image: Ted Stryk
The line to see Saturn during the public viewing at Lowell
The line to see Saturn during the public viewing at Lowell Image: Ted Stryk
The line to look through the 24" telescope
The line to look through the 24" telescope Image: Ted Stryk
Public viewing at Lowell Observatory
Public viewing at Lowell Observatory Image: Ted Stryk
About to look through the Clark Refractor telescope
About to look through the Clark Refractor telescope Image: Ted Stryk
The New Horizons team viewing Pluto
The New Horizons team viewing Pluto Image: Ted Stryk

I should add a personal note. This was the second time I’ve seen Pluto in a telescope, the first time being in the 1990s. It appears, of course, like a faint star. But this time it was a world we were looking at – a place that we knew, a place that we have spent the last year studying up close. As a Geology and Geophysics collaborator, I have watched a slow, constant stream of images from the New Horizons CCDs on my monitor. Last night, photons from the sun took the roughly ten hour journey from the sun to reflect off Pluto and enter the telescope and finally my eyes.

"Planet 9 salute"
"Planet 9 salute" Ted Stryk and Alan Stern give the "Planet 9 salute" beneath the telescope used to discover Pluto at Lowell Observatory.

Pluto is a special place. It marks both the limit of the pre-space age solar system and is the largest world we know of in the “new” solar system that we have since discovered. New Horizons has completed the initial reconnaissance of our solar system we set out to explore and begun to open up the solar system that at the time was purely a matter of theory and conjecture. In the coming years, the mission will continue the nascent work of understanding a new class of worlds.

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