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Franck Marchis

Wonderful potentially habitable worlds around TRAPPIST-1

Posted by Franck Marchis

22-02-2017 12:00 CST

Topics: extrasolar planets

This post originally appeared on Franck Marchis' Cosmic Diary blog and is reposted here with his permission.

In May 2016, Michael Gillon and his team announced the discovery of three Earth-sized exoplanets around TRAPPIST-1, an ultra cool M-dwarf star, using the small TRAPPIST telescope at ESO-La Silla, Chile. It was an exciting discovery—yet on that day no one could possibly have imagined that less than a year later they would make another significant discovery involving the same system. But here we are: today, they announced in Nature the discovery of seven potentially habitable Earth-like worlds.

The TRAPPIST-1 system: Where might liquid water exist?

NASA / JPL-Caltech

The TRAPPIST-1 system: Where might liquid water exist?
This representation of the Trappist-1 system shows which planets could harbor liquid water. The inner three planets are likely too hot, and the outer planet is probably too cold, but the middle three planets might be just right.

The star, named TRAPPIST-1, is a fairly inconspicuous star in our Milky Way. Small (8% the mass of the sun) and cold (half the temperature of the sun), it is a member of an ultra-cool dwarf population that represents 15% of the star population of our galaxy. In 2016, Gillon and his team detected the transit (i.e., the shadow of a planet passing between its host star and us) of three exoplanets at the inner edge of the habitable zone of their star.

Energized and excited by this discovery, the team requested and received additional telescope time to follow up on this system during the second half of 2016. The NASA Spitzer telescope is one of the facilities they selected for an ambitious program that called for monitoring the TRAPPIST-1 system almost continuously for twenty days. Spitzer and other ground-based telescopes allowed the team to detect thirty-four transits, more than they had anticipated, suggesting the existence of additional exoplanets in the system.

After an careful analysis, the data revealed the presence of seven Earth-sized exoplanets (named TRAPPIST 1b, c, d, e, f, g, and h) in orbit around this M-type star. Because their orbital periods are short (less than twelve days for planets b to g), several transits were detected during the campaign. Accurately measurements of those tiny events (0.6% dimming of the star) provide a wealth of information about the planets’ orbits, sizes, and even masses by measuring precisely the timings of the transits which are perturbed by the gravity of other planets.

Trappist-1 top view

F. Marchis & H. Marchis

Trappist-1 top view
Top view of the Trappist-1 planetary system showing the circular orbits of the seven Earth-like exoplanets. The red dwarf is not to scale. The green area corresponds to the habitable zone of the star where liquid water could exist on the surface of those worlds.

So what have we learned about the TRAPPIST-1 system?

  • It’s very tight; the most distant planet (h) is at 0.06 AU from its star. The closest one is at 0.01 AU. For comparison, Mercury orbits at 0.39 AU from our sun. This is NOT equivalent to our solar system, but more a minuscule version of it, comparable in size/mass ratio to Jupiter and its Galilean Moons.
     
  • Similar to our solar system, these exoplanets travel circular orbits all of which go in the same direction. They probably formed more than 500 million years ago together with their star.
     
  • The depth of the transits provides a measurement of the radius of the planets, which are similar to Earth (b, c, e, f, g) or Mars (d, h) so they range from 75% to 110% the size of Earth.
     
  • The data are accurate enough to detect mutual gravitational effects, so we can infer the mass of the first six planets, and hence their density. Those are rocky worlds that range in density from 60 and 117% that of Earth.
     
  • Considering the amount of energy they receive from the star, these planets might have a temperature suitable for the presence of liquid water on their surface (e,f,g) if we assume a similar atmosphere than Earth.
Trappist-1 incident flux and radiuses

F. Marchis & H. Marchis

Trappist-1 incident flux and radiuses
Incident flux received by the exoplanets of Trappist-1, and their radiuses. For comparison, the incident flux of Mercury, Mars and Ceres, as well as the locations of Venus and Mars are added. Trappist-1d receives the same amount energy as Earth.

What can’t we say about the TRAPPIST-1 system?

  • This is not the first discovery of a system with this many exoplanets. HR8832 and HD10180 have seven planets that were discovered by radial velocity. In both cases, the exoplanets are massive, at least ten times the mass of Earth. The host stars also have a mass similar to our sun. Kepler-90 is another system with seven exoplanets discovered by transit measurements. Several of those exoplanets are larger than Earth and probably ice and gas giants. What is crucial here is that for the first time, we have discovered seven temperate rocky exoplanets in orbit around a M-dwarf star. There are many such stars in our galaxy, so there are probably a lot of worlds like these out there!
     
  • No, we have not yet discovered a cousin of Earth, much less seven of them. The measurements provide interesting information about these exoplanets, and we can confidently say that six of them are rocky. However, their location in the habitable zone of their star does not imply that they are habitable. For instance, Mars and Venus are in the habitable zone of our Sun, but are not habitable anymore. In other words, it is too early to say if there are oceans on their surface. TRAPPIST-1 is located about forty light-years from us, so we will probably need the large aperture of the JWST or a dedicated space telescope like ARIEL to detect the presence of an atmosphere and derive its composition. Using the Hubble Space Telescope, the team has tried to detect an exosphere on one of the planets but without success so far.
     
  • No, we have not detected life on those exoworlds. In my opinion, life is the result of a complex cascade of random events, and we don’t really know if those exoplanets, located near an ultra-cool star, are suitable for life. They are very close to their star and may be tidally locked, showing the same hemisphere to their star at all times. The existence of life on worlds with temperatures that vary from one hemisphere to the other is difficult to imagine. It will take years of observations and modeling to understand if life can exit on such a strange worlds.
The TRAPPIST-1 system

NASA / JPL-Caltech / F. Marchis

The TRAPPIST-1 system
Artist's representation of the Trappist-1 system with the exoplanets at scale between each other and the host red dwarf star. The ESI (Earth Similarity Indice) calculated by Abel Mendez (PHL) for each exoplanet is added. For comparison with our solar system planets, Earth's ESI is 1, Venus's ESI is 0.44, and Mars's ESI is 0.64. Caution: the ESI is not a direct measure of habitability but formally a fuzzy comparison, using a distance metric, between a selected set of planetary properties of a planet and Earth. See http://phl.upr.edu/projects/earth-similarity-index-esi for more information.

Last year, astronomers announced the discovery of a potentially terrestrial planet around Proxima Centauri, located only 4.2 light-years away from us. Today, this group reveals the existence of seven potentially habitable worlds around a small star that could live forever. The field of exoplanet is without doubt booming, and it is not over.

A team led by Emmanuel Jehin, co-author of the paper, is currently building Speculoos, a TRAPPIST telescope “on steroids”, made of four, 1-meter robotic telescopes installed at Cerro Paranal. With this telescope, the team will survey 10 times more red dwarfs than TRAPPIST did. So we could expect the discovery of a dozen systems similar to this one soon. We will have the opportunity to explore the diversity of atmospheres and climates on Earth-like worlds, and potentially life out there.

The discovery of these strange new worlds where life could flourish is the beginning of an exciting time for astronomers and biologists. A time when we are beginning to see the unimaginable, a time when life as we don’t know it can be imaged and studied. We will probably need to build complex and expensive instruments to understand those worlds—but what an astonishing, awe-inspiring, life-changing prize to win, don’t you think?

 
See other posts from February 2017

 

Or read more blog entries about: extrasolar planets

Comments:

Mike Paine: 02/22/2017 01:07 CST

This discovery supports Alan Stern's contention that the current IAU definition of a planet is flawed. "Now, they are so close to each other that their gravitational fields interact, nudging one another in ways that enabled the team to estimate each planet's mass..." would not, I think meet that definition. See this essay from 2000: http://users.tpg.com.au/horsts/microplanet.html

Andrian: 02/22/2017 01:19 CST

With such large planets so near each other, is this system stable into the foreseeable future? Has anyone simulated their orbits?

Ahmed: 02/22/2017 01:40 CST

This is amazing. God told us this 1400 years ago in his last revelation, Qur'an. It is Allah Who has created seven heavens and of the earth the like thereof (i.e. seven). His Command descends between them (heavens and earth), that you may know that Allah has power over all things, and that Allah surrounds (comprehends) all things in (His) Knowledge. Qur'an 65:12

andrewbacon: 02/22/2017 01:52 CST

Oh for cthulu's sake god did not tell us any such thing.

Bello: 02/22/2017 03:47 CST

I am very glad that scientists are now cruising along the edge of our knowledge. This is a magnificent discovery. Good luck for the team who discovered this system. The world is so big!

Evan: 02/22/2017 10:38 CST

Seven! The FSM said seven once. He was telling us all about this all along! Serially though this is such a neat discovery. What will be next!?

Jannettee: 02/22/2017 10:53 CST

Leave your religion out of this!! Fictional gods did not say anything. The men who wrote your religios books didn't know where the sun went at night let alone about anything in the universe. IN SCIENCE WE TRUST! ♡ Nasa!

B.J. Guillot: 02/23/2017 07:25 CST

The blog mentions "TRAPPIST-1 is located twenty-nine light-years from us". Most other sources are reporting 39 light-years (or 12 parsecs). I assume the 29 is a typo?

ercan: 02/23/2017 09:23 CST

I am proud of scientific community contributing our understanding of earth and universe. I am fed up with the notion that god told us most scientific facts years ago. I am sure that prophets did know nothing about the physics and physical rules. We trust science.

Jason Davis: 02/23/2017 09:49 CST

Thanks, B.J., for noticing -- corrected.

Michael Richmond: 02/23/2017 02:13 CST

The article overstates our knowledge of the density of the planets. > Those are rocky worlds that range in > density from 60 and 117% that of Earth. If you look carefully at Figure 2a of the Nature paper, or Table 1, you'll see that the uncertainties in the inferred densities (due to the large uncertainty in masses) means that 4 of the 6 have densities consistent with 50% water, and 2 or 3 have densities (barely) consistent with 100% water.

Stephen: 02/24/2017 12:19 CST

“Small (8% the mass of the sun) and cold (half the temperature of the sun), it is a member of an ultra-cool dwarf population that represents 15% of the star population of our galaxy.” If Trappist-1 is a class M dwarf then last I checked they are believed to represent around 75% of the stars of the Milky Way, not a mere 15%! I would also point out that planets orbiting inside the habitable zones of class M dwarfs are orbiting closer to their star than Mercury is to our own Sun, and there is therefore a good chance they will be tidally locked, which would not exactly be good for finding liquid water on their surfaces.

farhad: 02/26/2017 09:41 CST

I am very glad that scientists are now cruising along the edge of our knowledge. This is a magnificent discovery. Good luck for the team who discovered this system. The world is so big! thanksssssss

Franck Marchis: 03/02/2017 12:48 CST

Stephen: Ultra cool dwarf stars are a sub-category of the spectral Class M. They represent 15% of the astronomical objects in our galaxy. About the issue of having the planets tidally locked, this is discussed in the paper. "Using a 1D cloud-free climate model accounting for the low- temperature spectrum of the host star, we infer that the three planets e, f, and g could harbour water oceans on their surfaces, assuming Earth-like atmospheres. The same inference is obtained when running a 3D climate model assuming that the planets are tidally synchronous. For the three inner planets (b,c,d), our 3D climate modeling results in runaway greenhouses. Michael Richmond: It is correct that the error bars imply that b,f,e,d could be made of 100% of water, however it is difficult to envision Ice giant planets surviving 1Byrs in close orbit around a flare star. Those are probably rocky planets and we will know more about them by studying their atmospheres in spectroscopy.

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